Monday Night Football Betting Picks September 23rd: Jaguars vs. Bills, Commanders vs. Bengals

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December 31, 2023; Jacksonville, FL, USA; Jacksonville Jaguars quarterback Trevor Lawrence (16) before the game against the Carolina Panthers at EverBank Stadium. Photo Credit: Morgan Tencza-USA TODAY Sports

We'll wrap up week three with a Monday night doubleheader, so it's a great viewing night for those of you with two TVs in the main room. The Buffalo Bills are the bright spot team and are looking to improve to 3-0.

Every game has a winless team. The Jacksonville Jaguars are trying to avoid an 0-3 deficit when they take on the Bills on the road. The Cincinnati Bengals are also looking for their first win at home against the Washington Commanders.

Buffalo's offense isn't as reliant on the pass, but no one seems to miss former star wide receiver Stefon Diggs. Cincinnati is used to this kind of trouble, having started 0-2 in five of the last six seasons. In 2022, they recovered and advanced to the AFC Champions League.

Let’s take a look at three betting predictions.

When will Trevor Lawrence step up?

When the Jacksonville Jaguars selected Trevor Lawrence with the No. 1 overall pick in 2021, expectations were high for him. He was solid in his second season, but he regressed last season and his production was a major reason for the Jaguars' poor performance this season.

Lawrence received a five-year, $275 million contract extension this offseason, but he hasn't played like an elite quarterback. He completed just 51 percent of his passes, and Jacksonville ranked 27th in scoring, averaging just 15 points per game.

The Bills are still good at 2-0 despite star quarterback Josh Allen throwing just 42 passes combined in two games. Allen threw three touchdown passes, helping Buffalo rank third in the league in scoring offense with an average of 32.5 points per game.

Allen's biggest task will be avoiding Jacksonville star Josh Hines-Allen, once known as…Josh Allen. In 2021, Jacksonville defeated the Bills 9-6. Hines Allen intercepted, caught Allen's fumble, and sacked.

Bills -5.5 point spread, -110 (DraftKings)

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Bengals breakout time

The Bengals were upset by the New England Patriots in Week 1 and lost to the Kansas City Chiefs last week on a last-second field goal. Now Cincinnati is trying to get out of the woods and has a scheduling gift in Week 4 – the Carolina Panthers – so it can get to the .500 mark.

One of the standout developments was receiver Tee Higgins making his first start of the season after being sidelined with a hamstring injury. It also means fewer double teams for star wide receiver Ja'Marr Chase and quarterback Joe Burrow, another top target.

Washington will look to control this game on the field as they are averaging 176.5 yards rushing per game and Bryan Robinson (173 yards) is off to an impressive start. rookie quarterback jaden daniels The number of ground passes increased by 132, and the pass success rate was as high as 75.5%, but he was also sacked seven times.

Veteran linebacker Bobby Wagner (19 tackles, 4 for loss) was a standout on defense while playing for coach Dan Quinn, the Seattle Seahawks' former defensive coordinator. Even if Cincinnati wins, expect the Commanders to hang on to this game until the end.

Commander +7, -108 (DraftKings)

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Two games are available for betting, with plenty of bets available

Allen (228.5, -113) has thrown for just 371 yards in two games despite completing 73.8 percent of his passes. Maybe it's time for a big outing? James Cook (61.5, -113) rushed for 149 yards on 15 carries per game.

Lawrence (222.5, -113) has thrown for 382 yards but needs to get closer to his career completion percentage (63.4) to become the right buy. Former Buffalo wide receiver Gabriel Davis (38.5, -113) could be a worthy option, as he only needs three catches to go over his target.

Burrow (261.5, -113) passed for 422 yards, and the return of Higgins should enhance his performance. Chase (80.5, -113) will have more opportunities to relax, while Higgins (44.5, -113) should be fine once the rust wears off.

Daniels (195.5, -113) is a wild card in his first game on the Monday Night Football stage. If Washington can control the ball, Robinson (53.5, -113) could have another solid game.

Trevor Lawrence is under 222.5 passing yards, -113 (FanDuel)

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